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A Judgment Based on Guesswork
The mind of a single person is not capable of gathering complete data on all important subjects. For that reason, almost none of us considers whether we have enough information to make a proper judgment. Although we most often do not possess the necessary data, we nevertheless make judgments and later argue among ourselves over whose judgment is true.
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ACTIVE INTERNET INFORMATION STRUCTURE [IAI]
a multimedia information structure concerning a Complex Issue, modeled and edited continuously by a multi-person editorial team that combines information from mass media with information from experts in various fields of science;
Read More »ACTIVE INTERNET INFORMATION STRUCTURE [IAI]
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An Example of Necessary Data
Necessary data, analyses and calculations in the case of the loan issue include, for example: Polish banking law, consumer protection under EU regulations, an analysis of the correctness of loan agreement clauses, calculations of different loan variants and a comparison of their costs, etc.
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Analytical Base [AB]
it is made up of analyses necessary to discuss the individual Simple Sub-Issues of the Complex Issue;
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Analytical Issue
an analysis of one matter contained within a Simple Issue, presented step by step through division into Analytical Layers.
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Analytical Layer
a set of information [Synthesis Bricks] that makes it possible to answer one of the elementary questions of the Complex Issue, that is, the indivisible and simplest logical element in this structure.
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Basic or Supplementary Simple Issue
an analysis of one aspect of the Complex Issue, presented step by step through division into Analytical Issues.
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Big Data – Analysis
Big data analysis refers to methods, tools and applications used to collect and process large sets of diverse data and to obtain detailed insights from them. These datasets may come from various sources, such as press materials, radio and television materials, social media, and so on. In the case of my project, those data will serve to determine the scope of the Complex Issue and help plan how the Integrated Information on that topic will be constructed.
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Collective Consciousness
I understand it as the dominant knowledge, beliefs and points of view within a community, which shape the attitude of the majority of society toward a given problem.
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Communication Ether
I understand it as a network of all possible routes of information flow between people; it is formed by both:
- mass media (alongside books, the press, radio and television,
including online news portals and even browsers such as Google and Edge), - as well as various forms of electronic audiovisual and text transmission (e.g. Twitter, YouTube, WhatsApp, Messenger, SMS)
- and direct oral forms of communication (e.g. conversations, lectures, speeches).
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Complex Issue
a matter concerning a problem important to a large community of people, which can be viewed from many scientific aspects and reference points existing in social consciousness, and whose analysis must proceed in multiple stages.
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Complex Question
a question that cannot be answered directly; one must first carry out a logical analysis consisting of answers to several, a dozen, or even several dozen simple questions. Only answers to the necessary simple questions (in other words, elementary questions) make it possible to answer the Complex Question.
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Core Aspects in IAI
clearly distinguishable areas of public discourse concerning the Complex Issue.
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Elementary Question
a simple question that can be answered immediately on the basis of the necessary data, without asking additional questions.
Complex Question
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Elementary Synthesis Map
a logically defined set of necessary information whose synthesis leads to the answer to an Elementary Question.
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Fact and Opinion
Fact refers to something true—something real—supported by evidence and scientific documentation. By contrast, an opinion is what a given person believes or thinks about a subject, but something that cannot be verified, because it is only that person’s subjective conviction.
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Fixed and Variable Elements of the IAI Structure
The IAI structure consists of two mechanisms: one based on the fixed elements of the structure and the other on its variable elements.
- Thanks to the variable elements (inside the structure), IAI content can be updated, which may change how the issue is perceived.
- Thanks to the fixed elements (external to the structure), despite repeated updates, the overall treatment of the issue still retains the same reading structure.
Owing to both mechanisms, new information (new data, analyses, opinions) is always presented within the complete treatment of the topic rather than as a fragment torn out of context.
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How an Individual View Is Formed – an Example
When we think about the problem of pseudo-currency loans, various associations come to mind: were the contracts understandable? did borrowers know what they were signing? did banks set a trap for a defenseless consumer? why did so many people take out a loan indexed to a foreign currency rather than simply a foreign-currency loan? are these contracts unlawful? if they are unlawful, should some public authority not have reviewed them and prohibited them? why was it only after many years that borrowers began to file lawsuits against banks? …
Read More »How an Individual View Is Formed – an Example
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How Guesses Arise
Guesses arise when we do not have the objective data necessary to draw logical conclusions.
I would distinguish four causes of missing data in our individual databases:
1 – the data exist, but we do not need them, because instead of perceiving objective reality we prefer to confine ourselves to intersubjective reality.
Read More »How Guesses Arise
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IAI
abbreviation of: Active Integrated Information [full name:
Integrated Active Information]
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IAI – Broad Synthetic Truth
If our intellect perceives the area of reality designated by the Complex Issue from all the Necessary Reference Points existing in collective consciousness and combines information from the key areas of scientific knowledge relevant to the issue, then we see the Broad Synthetic Truth concerning that fragment of reality.
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IAI – Defective Truth
a perception of truth that results from viewing Complex Issues in a way detached from reality, that is, based not on facts but on erroneous guesses, or incomplete—meaning from one or several Core Aspects and/or Necessary Reference Points while omitting one or several other Core Aspects and/or Necessary Reference Points.
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IAI and Big Data
In the case of my project, those data will serve to determine the scope of the complex issue and to plan how the Integrated Information on that topic will be constructed.
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Necessary Reference Point
a Reference Point that makes it possible to answer at least one of the significant questions that arise during the analysis of the Complex Issue.
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Point of View
In broad simplification, one may say that there are significant differences between the databases stored in each person’s mind, caused by the work they do every day, their education, their place in society, and so on. On their own, hardly any individual will possess sufficient knowledge for a full analysis of a complex problem. Most of us will also see the problem only from one—our own—perspective. Yet each of us will want to prove, during a discussion, that “I am right.”
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Problem Analysis – the Formation of a View
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Pseudo-Swiss-Franc Loans
Loan agreements that are indexed, valorized or denominated—in contrast to PLN loans or classic foreign-currency loans, which are taken out and repaid in the same currency—stipulate in their clauses that
the amount of the disbursed loan and the amount of the repaid debt are in different currencies. This means that at the moment the contract is signed,
the amount of capital to be repaid is not unambiguously determined in the currency in which the loan is taken out. On this site I use the terms
two-currency loans, pseudo-Swiss-franc loans, and loans indexed or valorized to a foreign currency interchangeably.

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Reference Point
a relation of the issue under discussion to a concept denoting an objective or intersubjective entity with which the analyzed problem has or may have a direct connection.
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Scientific Base [SB]
it is made up of explanations concerning the mechanisms or rules governing the analyzed phenomena related to the complex issue under discussion; this base is the central element of Integrated Information, whose task is to provide, in the shortest possible form, the necessary scientific knowledge and the fullest possible up-to-date data required to discuss the Complex Issue;
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Scientific Spotlights of the Core Aspects
all the scientific planes of the Complex Issue that must be taken into account in order to describe it comprehensively.
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Separate Facts from Guesswork
The impossibility of separating facts from guesses is exploited by people whose aim is not to solve the problem, but to gain some benefit for themselves, such as winning support in parliamentary elections, selling some product, lobbying in somebody’s interest, or simply shining in public discourse.
By treating their opponents’ arguments as opinions, even though they are facts, they deprive them of their strongest asset, namely the
unambiguity of reality.
Read More »Separate Facts from Guesswork
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Source Base
source materials extracted from mass media on the Complex Issue, making it possible to determine the
Core Aspects and the
Necessary Reference Points that constitute the pillars of Integrated Information.
- Core Aspects in IAI
- Necessary Reference Point
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Synthesis Bricks
pieces of information from various IAI bases which, when combined into one coherent logical whole, create a set of information that makes it possible to answer elementary questions.
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Synthetic Collective Intellect
An online database of Active Integrated Information that organizes human knowledge within a single multi-level structure in which information from all areas of science is most easily integrated when focused around Complex Issues.
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System of Necessary Reference Points
a set of all the Reference Points that matter for a given Complex Issue and that will be taken into account when creating Integrated Information; when creating it, we omit references that do not contribute to posing significant questions.
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Threat Base [TB]
it is made up of threats that are the reasons for creating IAI (e.g. the specter of famine that occurred in the past); TB is created as a complement to the information contained in SB, because a visualization of threats often speaks more strongly than a scientific description of the mechanisms governing the human world; information in TB carries a strong emotional charge and thus appeals to human imagination; this base will most often be formed by short documentary films;
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View
our final position or stance toward a specific problem; it is a synthesis of answers to Complex Questions.
Complex Question